South Africa on brink at Lord's: 38% chance to seal historic WTC chase

South Africa is on the brink of a historic victory at Lord's in the 2025 World Test Championship final, chasing 282 runs with a 38% chance of success according to WinViz. The Proteas' innings has been anchored by Aiden Markram, who scored a brilliant unbeaten century, and a resilient partnership with captain Temba Bavuma, who despite a hamstring injury, contributed an unbeaten 65 runs.

Markram and Bavuma have shared an unbroken 143-run partnership, steadying the chase and bringing South Africa within 69 runs of victory as they resume on Day 4. This win would mark a significant milestone, ending South Africa's long-standing reputation as international cricket's chokers in major men's finals.

Earlier in the match, Australia had fought hard, with Mitchell Starc taking key wickets and Josh Hazlewood contributing to a vital last-wicket stand. However, South Africa's composed batting, especially the efforts of Markram and Bavuma, has shifted momentum.

"Markram made a brilliant unbeaten century to put South Africa within tantalising distance of a historic victory," highlighting the significance of his innings.

The chase at Lord's is poised to be the joint second-highest successful run chase in Test history at the venue, underscoring the magnitude of the challenge and the potential triumph.

As the match progresses, South Africa's determination and skill will be tested, but the current scenario offers hope for a landmark win in the World Test Championship final.

South Africa holds a 38% chance to complete a historic chase of 282 runs at Lord's in the 2025 World Test Championship final. Led by Aiden Markram's unbeaten century and a resilient partnership with injured captain Temba Bavuma, the Proteas are poised to end their major final drought.