XRP profit-taking mounts: 35% price drop looms amid 90% ETF approval odds

With SEC chairman Paul Atkins signaling a crypto-friendly stance, Bloomberg analysts now see a 90% chance for spot XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano ETFs to be approved in 2025. Meanwhile, XRP investors are cashing in $68.8 million daily, fueling concerns of a potential 35% price correction as profit-taking intensifies.

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Updated 2h ago
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The Headline

High XRP ETF approval odds spark profit-taking and price risk

Key Facts
  • Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart have raised their confidence to 90% that spot XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano ETFs will be approved this year.1
  • Analysts assign a 98% chance that an XRP ETF will be approved this year.1
  • XRP price rallied over 300%, with top investors realizing $68.8 million in profits daily on a 7-day average.1
  • Holders of XRP from 3 to 6 months have shown a steady decline in SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio), indicating ongoing profit-taking.
  • Continued selling from newer XRP holders risks a 35% price decline toward the $1.35 31.60 range.1
Given recent engagement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding applications for spot altcoin exchange-traded funds, Bloomberg analysts said Friday they are more confident than ever that the new financial products will be approved this year.
The Block
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They are giving a 98% chance that an XRP ETF gets approved this year, and a 91% chance a SOL ETF gets the green light.
News
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If selling from newer holders continues, XRP risks a 35% decline toward the $1.35–$1.60 range.
Cointelegraph
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Key Stats at a Glance
ETF approval confidence
90%
1
XRP ETF approval chance
98%
1
Daily profits realized by XRP investors
$68M
Potential XRP price decline
35%
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Background Context

SEC's current stance and leadership shift on crypto ETFs

Key Facts
  • The SEC has so far approved spot crypto ETFs only for Bitcoin and Ethereum.1
  • Paul Atkins became SEC chairman in April and has promised a more favorable approach to digital assets.1
Key Stats at a Glance
Number of spot crypto ETFs approved by SEC
2
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