Thomas BarkinBeth HammackLenovo Group LimitedFederal ReserveCME Group

US stock futures tick higher as oil retreats ahead of producer-price inflation data; investors await Fed rate path clues

US stock futures rose slightly as oil prices declined, with investors looking ahead to producer-price inflation data for insights into the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy. The market anticipates a 66% chance the Fed will maintain current rates following recent consumer inflation data.

Investing.com13 August 2026 · 10:46 UTC
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US stock futures experienced a slight uptick as oil prices retreated, with investors keenly awaiting the July producer-price inflation data set to be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. This data is crucial for understanding the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions.

The market's optimism follows benign consumer inflation data from July, which has bolstered expectations that the Fed will maintain its current interest rates during the upcoming meeting. According to the CME's Fed Watch tool, money market participants now see a 66% chance that the Fed will hold rates steady, a significant increase from the previous day's near-even odds between a rate hike and a pause.

As of 05:47 a.m. ET, futures tied to Wall Street's main indexes were up, with the Dow gaining 128 points, or 0.24%, and E-minis rising by 12.5 points, or 0.16%. This positive movement comes despite a backdrop of concerns regarding weaker global demand and rising U.S. crude stocks, which had previously pressured futures down by 1.9% after six consecutive sessions of gains.

Investors are also reacting to earnings reports, with PC makers seeing gains of 4% and 1.8% respectively, following better-than-expected earnings from China's Lenovo. However, some companies faced challenges, such as a 6% drop in a Dow component despite positive revenue forecasts, and an AI chip designer's shares slumping over 18% after missing quarterly revenue estimates.

Key Insight
“Oil futures fell 1.9% after six straight sessions of gains, while money markets now see a 66% chance the Fed holds rates steady. PC makers gained in premarket after Lenovo's earnings beat expectations, but an AI chip designer slumped over 18% on missed revenue.”
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Investing.com
“Aug 13 (Reuters) - Futures tied to Wall Street’s main indexes inched higher on Thursday as prices fell and investors awaited producer-price inflation data for clues on inflation and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.”
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