Market Talk: Can the Fed get away with not hiking rates?
CuriousCats Shorts-list
Market Talk: Can the Fed get away with not hiking rates?
Adam SarhanFederal ReserveIRENNvidiaSuper Micro ComputerBroadcomNebius GroupLumentum HoldingsMicron TechnologyCava GroupCoreWeaveApplied Digital

Wall Street rises after in-line CPI data; bond traders keep cointoss wager on September Fed hike with 40% odds

Wall Street indices rose Wednesday following a tame consumer price index report, which showed inflation at 3.4% year-on-year in July. Traders are pricing in a 40% chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September, easing concerns over persistent inflation's impact on equities.

Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.com+1 source12 August 2026 · 13:14 UTC
CuriousCats Full Story

Wall Street's major indices experienced gains on Wednesday, buoyed by a 3.4% year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July, which was slightly lower than June's 3.5%. This data alleviated fears of an imminent interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, with traders now estimating a 40% chance of a rate increase in September.

In early trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2% to 53,872.05, while the S&P 500 climbed 0.4% to 7,756.22, and the Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 0.7% to 26,641.91. As of 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time, the S&P 500 was up 0.3%, the Dow Jones was up 0.1%, and the Nasdaq was 0.7% higher.

Adam Sarhan of 50 Park Investments noted, "This CPI report gives the market and the Fed the chance to take a big sigh of relief, because we're not in the situation where this inflation report is forcing the Fed's hands." The report has provided a temporary reprieve for investors, who had been concerned about persistent inflation potentially prompting the Fed to raise interest rates, which could hinder equity performance.

In addition to the broader market movements, several stocks in the AI and semiconductor sectors saw significant gains. CoreWeave shares surged 22% after reporting quarterly revenue of $2.6 billion, while Nvidia gained 2% and Micron Technology climbed 4.4%. Other notable performers included Super Micro Computer, which soared 17% after projecting fiscal 2027 revenue above Wall Street expectations.

Key Insight
“The tame inflation reading eased concerns about a near-term rate increase, with the 2-year Treasury yield falling three basis points to 4.18% and the 10-year yield down to 4.66% ahead of a $42 billion auction. AI-related stocks rallied, with CoreWeave jumping 22% on $2.6 billion quarterly revenue.”
CuriousCats studied:
1
Bloomberg.comBloomberg.com
“Traders held on to bets that Federal Reserve officials could raise interest rates at their next meeting in September, pricing in a roughly 40% chance of a move after a tame reading of US inflation.”
Bloomberg.com →
2
livemint.comlivemint.com
“US stock indices recovered on Wednesday after official data showed cooled in July, reducing concerns that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates in the near term.”
livemint.com →
Ask CuriousCats
What did the CPI data report?
Why did stock market rally occur?
How did Treasury yields respond?
Are AI stocks outperforming other sectors?
How does CoreWeave's revenue compare to last year?
Get your CIA-level briefing,
in real time.
CuriousCats monitors the internet every minute for you and brings you the most personalized brief of videos, social media posts, news and more.
Download the App
If you liked this, you’ll love your CuriousCats brief.
News, videos, opinions and more — without the noise.
Get CuriousCats