- Iran exports 90 per cent of its crude via Kharg, making it a key target amid soaring fuel prices.
- US administration officials discussed Kharg Island in March, but analysts say an occupation would likely expand and prolong the war rather than deliver a decisive victory.
- Tehran has fortified the island with additional surface-to-air missiles and laid traps including anti-personnel and anti-armour mines in surrounding waters, as reported by *CNN*.
- Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has largely halted since the IRGC took complete control of the waterway, and oil prices surged to over $100 per barrel.
- Former Pentagon official Michael Rubin argued that taking Kharg could prevent the regime from paying salaries, while the IRGC could target it with ballistic missiles but that would end Iranian oil exports for months.
- Former US Central Command commander Joseph Votel said that while only 800 to 1,000 troops would be needed, they would require protected logistical backup and would be very vulnerable.
- Gulf allies warned the US against putting troops on the ground in Iran, fearing retaliation against their energy and civilian infrastructure.
Trump's interest in Kharg Island stems from its strategic importance, as Iran exports 90% of its crude through this tiny hub.2
The island, located 16 miles off Iran's coast, has been fortified with surface-to-air missiles and mines to deter potential attacks.
Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has largely halted since the IRGC took control earlier this year, exacerbating the situation.4567
Oil prices have skyrocketed, exceeding $100 a barrel, with warnings that they could reach $200 if hostilities escalate.
Former Pentagon official Michael Rubin noted that capturing Kharg could cripple Iran's ability to pay its military and bureaucrats, but warned that any missile strike from the IRGC would provoke a severe response, halting Iranian oil exports for months.
Discussions within the US administration about Kharg Island have highlighted the practical challenges of occupation, with analysts suggesting that while taking the island might be quick, it could prolong the conflict rather than provide a decisive advantage.
Former US Central Command commander Joseph Votel emphasized the vulnerability of US troops on the island, stating that logistical support would be necessary. Gulf allies have cautioned against deploying ground troops in Iran, fearing retaliation against their infrastructure.89
“Iran exports 90% of its crude via Kharg, making it a key target amid oil prices surging past $100 a barrel. Gulf allies warn that US ground troops could trigger retaliation against their energy infrastructure, while analysts say occupation may prolong the war.”
independent.co.uk
