Dan FriedGreg MeeksAsia Society Policy InstituteAtlantic Council

Trump's decision to scale back military exercises with South Korea threatens alliances; experts warn it emboldens adversaries

Experts warn that Trump's decision to reduce military exercises with South Korea could undermine alliances, embolden adversaries like China and North Korea, and create uncertainty among U.S. allies, including Japan and NATO, raising concerns about the future of U.S. foreign policy in the region.

South China Morning Post South China Morning Post18 August 2026 · 01:45 UTC
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Trump's recent decision to scale back military exercises with South Korea has raised alarms among experts and lawmakers. They argue that this move could undermine U.S. alliances in Asia and embolden adversaries such as China and North Korea.

"The decision threatens to undermine the South Koreans and Japanese, unnerve NATO and embolden the Chinese and North Koreans," one expert stated.12

Dan Fried, a former assistant secretary of state, criticized the decision, saying, "There is no American interest that I can see in this. On all levels it makes no sense." He emphasized that it frightens Taiwan and unnerves NATO.

Russel, a scholar at the Asia Society Policy Institute, remarked, "Trump is punishing an ally while encouraging an adversary. He is protecting Kim Jong-un’s sensitive feelings from an unfriendly signal at the expense of US-South Korean security."4

Matthew Kroenig from the Atlantic Council noted that the U.S. has worked hard to assure South Korea of its protection, and scaling back exercises could undermine that message.

The specifics of the scaled-back training remain unclear, leading to confusion in South Korea, where national security is paramount due to threats from North Korea.

Representative Greg Meeks expressed concern, stating, "Treating one of America’s closest allies like an adversary weakens our alliances and benefits China and North Korea."6

Herbst from the Atlantic Council warned that if such actions continue, it could dismantle the alliance system that has been crucial since World War II.

Key Insight
“Experts warn that Trump's scaling back of military drills could undermine U.S. commitments to South Korea, potentially emboldening North Korea and China. Representative Greg Meeks stated that treating a close ally like an adversary weakens alliances and benefits adversaries, raising concerns about the future of U.S. foreign policy.”
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South China Morning PostSouth China Morning Post
“The decision threatens to undermine the South Koreans and Japanese, unnerve Nato and embolden the Chinese and North Koreans, one expert says.”
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