- Talarico leads Paxton by 5 points in a new Texas Senate poll, with 45% support among likely voters compared to Paxton's 40%.
- The poll was conducted by Texas Public Opinion Research from July 15 to July 17, surveying 1,048 likely voters.
- 14% of voters remain undecided, with 19% leaning toward Paxton and 10% toward Talarico.
- Talarico continues to poll well among moderates and independents, indicating strong support in these demographics.
- Voters trust Talarico to better understand economic challenges, leading Paxton by 7 points on this issue.
- Talarico holds the highest favorability rating at 43% favorable versus 31% unfavorable, while Paxton has 33% favorable versus 46% unfavorable.
- Talarico leads among Black and Latino voters, with 71% of Black voters and 66% of Latino voters supporting him.
Democrat James Talarico has opened a 5-point lead over Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, according to a Texas Public Opinion Research poll conducted from July 15-17. Talarico received 45% support among likely voters, while Paxton garnered 40%.
The poll indicates Talarico's strength among moderates and independents, with 43% of independents favoring him compared to 23% for Paxton. Additionally, Talarico leads significantly among Black voters (71% to 8%) and Latino voters (66% to 20%).
Talarico's favorability rating stands at 43% favorable versus 31% unfavorable, while Paxton's is 33% favorable versus 46% unfavorable. The poll also revealed that 14% of voters remain undecided, with 19% leaning toward Paxton and 10% toward Talarico.
The survey, which included 1,048 likely voters, has a margin of error of ±3.4%. Talarico's lead reflects a growing discontent with Paxton, who has struggled to connect with voters on economic issues, as Talarico is perceived to better understand their challenges.
Early voting begins on October 19, with Election Day set for November 3.
“The Texas Public Opinion Research poll shows Talarico's support is bolstered by strong backing from Black and Latino voters, with 71% and 66% respectively. Additionally, Talarico leads among independents, capturing 43% compared to Paxton's 23%, indicating a significant shift in voter sentiment ahead of the November election.”
