Shannon BentonMary JohnsonCommittee for a Responsible Federal BudgetSocial Security AdministrationSenior Citizens LeagueThe Senior Citizens LeagueBureau of Labor Statistics

Social Security COLA estimates for 2027 released, projecting 3.2%–3.6% raise, largest in four years; 'It's infuriating,' says advocate

Social Security's Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) for 2027 is projected to be between 3.2% and 3.6%, the largest increase in four years, but advocates argue it fails to meet the real inflationary pressures faced by seniors, who are struggling with rising costs in essential areas.

AL.com AL.com+1 source13 August 2026 · 14:52 UTC
CuriousCats Full Story

Social Security's Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) for 2027 is projected to be between 3.2% and 3.6%, marking the largest increase in four years. This adjustment, however, is seen as insufficient by advocates who highlight the ongoing inflationary pressures on seniors.1289

The Senior Citizens League estimates that if the projections hold, average monthly benefits would rise by $69.75, from $1,937.53 to $2,007.28. Despite this increase, advocates argue that it does not adequately reflect the real-world expenses seniors face, particularly in areas like groceries, healthcare, and housing.7

Seniors don’t experience inflation as a percentage on a chart. They experience it at the grocery store, at the pharmacy, in their insurance premiums and when they pay the rent,” said an advocate. “A higher COLA is welcome, but seniors shouldn’t have to lose purchasing power year after year before Washington acknowledges what they’re experiencing.”

The Social Security Administration will officially announce the 2027 COLA on October 14, with any increase in benefits starting in January. The COLA is determined by the average yearly change in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) for the third quarter of the year.3456

While the projected COLA is higher than this year’s 2.8% and the average increase of 2.6% over the last 20 years, it is primarily driven by inflation, which has seen a 3.4% annual rate. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget and other analysts have provided varying estimates, with the highest being 3.6% from the Senior Citizens League.

Despite some cooling in consumer prices, costs for essentials like outpatient hospital care and veterinary services continue to rise, further straining seniors' budgets.

Key Insight
“The Senior Citizens League projects average monthly benefits would rise by $69.75, from $1,937.53 to $2,007.28, if the 3.6% estimate holds. However, Medicare premium deductions could reduce the net increase, and the trust fund is expected to run dry in 2032, leaving only 78% of promised benefits.”
CuriousCats studied:
1
AL.comAL.com
“The latest projection shows Cost of Living Adjustment in 2027. While that raise would be the largest in four years, it falls far short of addressing the needs of retirees, The Senior Citizens League’s new estimate reflects a 0.8 percentage point increase over last year’s COLA of 2.8%. If those figures hold – and recipients won’t know until October – average monthly benefits would rise by $69.75, from $1,937.53 to $2,007.28.”
AL.com →
2
MarketWatchMarketWatch
“Social Security’s cost-of-living adjustment could be between 3.2% and 3.6% in 2027, adding at least $67 a month to the average retiree benefit amid cooling inflation.”
MarketWatch →
Ask CuriousCats
What is the projected COLA for 2027?
Why do advocates criticize the estimated raise?
How much will average benefits increase?
Are other years showing similar COLA increases?
How does this raise compare with inflation rates?
Get your CIA-level briefing,
in real time.
CuriousCats monitors the internet every minute for you and brings you the most personalized brief of videos, social media posts, news and more.
Download the App
Liked the depth here?
Get the full internet briefed for you any time of the day.
Get CuriousCats