Singapore inflation expectations rise as MAS tightens monetary policy for the second time in a row; core inflation projected to remain elevated into early next year.
Jonathan KohEdward LeeSelena LingOCBCStandard Chartered Bank SingaporeMonetary Authority of Singapore

Singapore inflation expectations rise as MAS tightens monetary policy for the second time in a row; core inflation projected to remain elevated into early next year.

Singapore's inflation expectations are rising as the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) tightens monetary policy for the second consecutive time, with core inflation projected to remain elevated into early next year, contrary to market predictions, according to analysts and the MAS's recent statements.

CNA CNA27 July 2026 · 09:03 UTC
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Singapore's Monetary Authority (MAS) has tightened its monetary policy for the second time in a row, surprising many analysts who anticipated no change. The MAS's decision comes as core inflation is projected to rise and remain elevated into early next year, reflecting ongoing economic pressures.

In its latest monetary policy statement, the MAS indicated that it would increase the rate of appreciation of the policy band slightly, although the adjustment is smaller than the one made in April. This move aims to address rising inflation expectations, which have been influenced by various factors, including global energy prices.

According to a Reuters poll of 16 analysts, 12 expected the MAS to maintain its current policy, while four anticipated tightening measures. This divergence highlights the uncertainty surrounding economic conditions, particularly in light of recent geopolitical events affecting energy prices.

Economists from Standard Chartered Bank Singapore noted, “On balance, we still expect the MAS to keep monetary policy unchanged in October, albeit with risks tilted towards further tightening.” The MAS has also raised its inflation forecast for 2026 to between 1.5% and 2.5%, indicating a long-term concern about inflationary pressures.

As Singapore navigates these economic challenges, the MAS's proactive measures reflect a commitment to stabilizing the economy amidst fluctuating inflation expectations and external uncertainties.

Key Insight
“The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has tightened monetary policy again, indicating a response to rising inflation pressures. Core inflation, which excludes accommodation and private transport, is expected to increase from July and stay high into early next year, reflecting ongoing economic challenges.”
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“The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) tightened monetary policy on Monday (Jul 27), in a move contrary to the market's expectations.”
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