- A new poll shows Democrat Brian Poindexter leading Republican Max Miller by 14 points, up from a 5-point margin last week.
- The poll indicates that 48 percent of voters are less likely to support Miller due to what they have seen, read, or heard about him, including 37 percent of Republicans.
- Only 11 percent of Republicans and 9 percent of all voters are more likely to support Miller.
- The rapid margin change is attributed to a public and ongoing battle between Miller and his ex-wife Emily Moreno, daughter of Sen. (R-Ohio).
- Miller has repeatedly denied allegations from Moreno that he threw scalding hot water at her, pointed a gun at her head, and broke their daughter’s collarbone.
- Poindexter said in a phone interview with Politico that his campaign message is that “the allegations against Max Miller are very credible and very outrageous. … If they prove to be true, he should be in jail.”
- Miller insisted he will not drop from his reelection race despite calls from many GOP members, while Axios reported that Republicans privately expect him to drop by the end of the week.
Democrat Brian Poindexter has surged ahead of Republican Max Miller by 14 points in a recent poll, a stark increase from a 5-point lead just a week prior. This shift is largely attributed to abuse allegations against Miller from his ex-wife, Emily Moreno.145678
The poll reveals that 48% of voters are now less likely to support Miller, with 37% of Republicans also expressing hesitance. Among all voters, only 9% are more likely to back him, while just 11% of Republicans feel similarly.

The allegations include claims that Miller threw scalding hot water at Moreno, pointed a gun at her head, and broke their daughter's collarbone. Miller has denied these accusations, stating, “I will not drop from my reelection race despite pressure from many GOP members.” Meanwhile, Poindexter has called the allegations “very credible and very outrageous,” suggesting that if proven true, Miller should face jail time.
The couple's tumultuous relationship has been under public scrutiny since their divorce in 2025, which has included a contentious custody battle over their daughter. As the election approaches, Republicans are reportedly anticipating that Miller may withdraw from the race by the end of the week.
“The poll shows 48% of voters are less likely to support Miller due to the allegations, including 37% of Republicans. Poindexter told Politico the allegations are 'very credible and very outrageous,' adding that if true, Miller 'should be in jail.'”
