TL;DR by CuriousCats.ai
Polls close in key federal byelections
- Polls have closed in the Ontario riding of Beaches-East York and the Quebec riding of Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, and are nearing close in the B.C. riding of North Vancouver-Capilano.
- Seats in three federal ridings — two last held by Liberals, one by a Conservative — are up for grabs. Winning two ridings ensures the Liberals hold on to their majority government.
Context on voter turnout and funding
- Elections Canada estimates nearly 40,000 voters cast a ballot at advance polls across all three ridings. North Vancouver-Capilano had the highest turnout (~16,700), followed by Beaches-East York (~11,800) and Chicoutimi-Le Fjord (~11,000). Compared to the 2025 election, advance turnout dropped significantly in the B.C. and Ontario ridings, both of which had over 20,000 early voters.
- The Liberals have a spending advantage in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord because safe seats like North Vancouver-Capilano and Beaches-East York allow them to direct most funding there. This mirrors the last byelections where they won all three contests.
CuriousCats Full Story
Polls have closed in the federal byelections for Beaches-East York, Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, and North Vancouver-Capilano, where the Liberals need to win two seats to maintain their majority amid a renewed U.S. trade war.12345678
The races are critical, as winning two ridings ensures the Liberals hold on to their majority government when all seats are filled. Beaches-East York is considered one of the safest Liberal seats, having been red since the early 90s, except for a brief period in 2011 when the NDP won it during Jack Layton's
Key Insight
“Elections Canada estimates nearly 40,000 voters cast advance ballots across the three ridings, with North Vancouver-Capilano leading at roughly 16,700. The Liberals hold a spending edge in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, mirroring their sweep of all three April byelections.”
CuriousCats studied:
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CBC
“Polls have closed in the Ontario riding of Beaches-East York and the Quebec riding of Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, and are nearing close in the B.C. riding of North Vancouver-Capilano.”
CBC →Ask CuriousCats
What are the key issues in the byelections?
Who are the candidates in North Vancouver-Capilano?
Why are these byelections significant for the Liberals?
Are voter turnout rates different across the ridings?
How does this election compare to previous byelections?
