- Oil prices fell sharply after Iran reportedly said it would suspend attacks as long as a U.S. pause in hostilities remains in place.
- Brent crude fell below $90 a barrel, while U.S. oil prices tumbled 5.44% to $84.45 a barrel.
- Stock futures surged as futures tied to the Dow Jones industrial average jumped 337 points, or 0.65%, and S&P 500 futures rose 0.80%.
- Diplomatic efforts are ongoing, with President Trump and Iranian officials actively engaged in talks after nearly two weeks of conflict.
- Iran has indicated it will stop carrying out attacks if the United States also refrains from striking.
- Any progress in reopening the Strait of Hormuz should further lower oil prices as the Federal Reserve prepares for its upcoming meeting.
Oil prices plunged 5% on Monday as Iran announced it would suspend attacks if the U.S. also paused its military actions, signaling a potential easing of tensions in the Middle East. Brent crude fell below $90 a barrel, while U.S. oil prices dropped to $84.45.23

The U.S. stock market reacted positively, with futures for the Dow Jones industrial average surging 337 points, or 0.65%, and the Nasdaq futures increasing by 1.28%. This market response reflects investor optimism regarding ongoing diplomatic efforts between the U.S. and Iran, as both sides engage in talks to de-escalate the situation.5
An Iranian official stated, “Tehran's stance remains 'attack for attack': if the attacks stop, Iran will also halt its operations,” indicating a willingness to negotiate. U.S. ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz confirmed that President Trump chose to pause strikes to facilitate these diplomatic efforts.

Additionally, discussions between Iran and Oman regarding shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz could further stabilize oil prices. Any progress in reopening the Strait is expected to lower oil prices, especially as the Federal Reserve prepares for a meeting to discuss interest rates amid inflation concerns.7
“Brent crude fell below $90 a barrel, and the dollar weakened as investors trimmed demand for haven assets. Separately, US Central Command chief Adm. Brad Cooper reportedly recommended stopping the bombing campaign as it reached the limit of its effectiveness.”
