- North Korea conducted a short-range ballistic missile test towards the Sea of Japan, likely from Wonsan, according to South Korean and Japanese militaries.
- Six days later, another missile from Wonsan flew about 700km eastward and fell into the Sea of Japan, ahead of US-South Korea drills from 17-27 August.
- Notably, North Korea's state media did not acknowledge either test, which is unusual.
- Experts suggest the tests may be linked to battlefield experience from the Ukraine war, possibly for refining missiles like the KN-23.
- In early June, Kim ordered a 2.5-fold increase in ballistic and cruise missile production.
- The silence is striking as Pyongyang is generally quick to publicize weapons tests it considers successful or strategically significant.
- Experts believe that the tests may be developmental or technical validation tests where publicity was unnecessary until a specific milestone was achieved.
- The repeated launches from Wonsan and the absence of the usual publicity suggest that these may be test launches of an upgraded version of the missile.
- An upgraded KN-23 variant may display improved accuracy and changes in its velocity during the terminal phase.
North Korea's recent missile tests, conducted in August without state media acknowledgment, have raised eyebrows among military experts. The tests, which included a missile launched from Wonsan that flew approximately 700 km into the Sea of Japan, are unusual for their lack of publicity, a departure from North Korea's typical behavior of showcasing successful launches.
According to Jagannath Panda, head of the Stockholm Centre for South Asian and Indo-Pacific Affairs, the silence is significant because North Korea often uses missile tests for domestic legitimacy and external deterrence. He suggests that the tests may be linked to developmental or technical validation efforts, where public acknowledgment is deemed unnecessary until specific milestones are achieved.
Experts speculate that North Korea could be leveraging battlefield experiences from the Ukraine war to enhance its missile capabilities. While there is no direct evidence connecting the recent tests to weapons intended for Russia, the possibility has become more credible. Russia has already deployed North Korean missiles in its conflict with Ukraine, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reporting their use in attacks that resulted in civilian casualties.
Additionally, Ukraine's military intelligence has indicated that a North Korean missile unit is deploying to western Russia, potentially equipped with up to 120 ballistic missiles and six launchers. This evolving situation underscores the need for vigilance as North Korea's military strategy may be adapting in response to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
“The tests, launched from Wonsan within a week, came ahead of US-South Korea drills from 17-27 August. Experts say the lack of state media acknowledgment is striking, with one suggesting a possible link to missile transfers to Russia, now 'considerably more credible'.”


