A Nawrocki presidency could torpedo the centrist government’s efforts to unspool the legacy of authoritarianism in the country; the 42-year-old historian would be able to yield the hugely powerful presidential veto, which Duda used frequently to thwart Tusk’s agenda.
Political Analyst
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Key Facts
- Karol Nawrocki, a right-wing historian backed by the Law and Justice (PiS) party, has won the Polish presidency with 50.9% of the vote, narrowly defeating Warsaw's liberal mayor Rafal Trzaskowski who received 49.1%.
- The presidential race was a tight contest between Nawrocki and Trzaskowski, reflecting a nation divided between liberal and conservative futures.1
- Rafal Trzaskowski aimed to end the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s decade-long hold on the presidency and support Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU agenda.1
- Karol Nawrocki campaigned on traditional Catholic values, Polish sovereignty, and opposition to the EU’s climate and migration policies.
- Nawrocki is expected to use his presidential veto power to block Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU reforms and maintain a strong sovereign stance against Brussels.
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- Nawrocki was relatively unknown nationally before being selected by the opposition party PiS as their unofficial candidate, presented as a strong defender of ordinary Poles and national interests.
Key Stats at a Glance
Percentage of votes won by Karol Nawrocki
50.9%

Percentage of votes won by Rafal Trzaskowski
49.1%
