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India's market week ahead: GDP, crude oil, US payrolls to drive volatility; Sensex, Nifty end last week lower after Friday rebound

India's stock market is set for a volatile week as GDP data, crude oil prices, and US payrolls loom large. The Sensex and Nifty ended last week lower, with the Sensex down 276.32 points and the Nifty down 76.35 points, despite a Friday rebound.

Rediff Rediff+1 source30 August 2026 · 12:15 UTC
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The Indian stock market is bracing for a turbulent week ahead, driven by key economic indicators including domestic GDP data, crude oil prices, and the US non-farm payrolls report.

Analysts predict that the Q1 FY27 GDP data, set for release on August 31, will be pivotal in shaping market sentiment. Ajit Mishra, SVP of Research at Religare Broking, emphasized that investors will also keep a close eye on India's August manufacturing and services PMI readings, GST collections, and foreign exchange reserves.46

The US non-farm payrolls report, scheduled for September 4, is expected to be a significant trigger for market movements, influencing expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's September policy decision. Mishra noted that the outcome could impact the US dollar, Treasury yields, and emerging-market fund flows.

Last week, the Sensex fell by 276.32 points (0.35%) and the Nifty by 76.35 points (0.31%), despite a rebound on Friday where the Sensex gained 331 points (0.43%). The broader market showed resilience, with Midcap and Smallcap indices advancing by 0.52% and 0.51%, respectively.129

Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, highlighted that global monetary policy expectations and crude oil prices will be key drivers in the coming weeks. He warned that any disruption to shipping routes could reverse recent gains, while a sustained recovery in shipping activity could ease geopolitical pressures on crude prices.

Overall, the market outlook remains cautious, with the 77,000 level seen as crucial support for maintaining the broader recovery structure.

Key Insight
“FPIs infused ₹30,919 crore in Indian equities in August, marking a second straight month of buying. Analysts flag the US non-farm payrolls report on September 4 as key, with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks raising September rate hike expectations.”
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CuriousCats studied:
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RediffRediff
“The Indian stock market is poised for a volatile week, with domestic GDP figures, fluctuating crude oil prices, and the eagerly anticipated US non-farm payrolls report set to significantly influence trading sentiment and investor decisions.”
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2
LivemintLivemint
“The Indian stock market ended the week on a cautious footing, extending their ongoing correction as worries over global interest rates, geopolitical risks and volatility linked to the new Closing Auction Session continued to dampen investor sentiment.”
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