IMD forecasts low-pressure area over Bay of Bengal, signaling monsoon shift in Kerala

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted the formation of a low-pressure area over the north Bay of Bengal during the second week of June, indicating a potential shift in the monsoon pattern affecting Kerala.

Following an intense May with Kerala receiving 584.2 mm of rainfall against a normal 219.1 mm, marking a 167% departure from normal, the Southwest Monsoon's intensity is expected to decrease in the coming days.

The IMD has predicted light-to-moderate below-normal rainfall until June 10, signaling a temporary lull in monsoon activity. However, northern districts such as Kannur and Kasaragod remain on yellow alert due to expected isolated heavy rainfall ranging from 7-11 cm through midweek.

"There will be heavy rain in the state's northern districts until Wednesday," the Met department stated, highlighting localized weather variations despite the overall decrease.

The low-pressure area or upper air cyclonic circulation over the Bay of Bengal is a key meteorological development that could influence the monsoon's progression and intensity in Kerala and adjoining regions.

This forecast underscores the dynamic nature of the monsoon season, with Kerala experiencing both extremes of heavy rainfall and expected below-normal precipitation in a short span.

The evolving weather pattern calls for continued vigilance, especially in northern districts under alert, as the monsoon shifts and impacts agricultural and daily life activities.

Key quotes and stats:
"The intensity of the Southwest Monsoon will decrease over the next few days."
Kerala's May rainfall: 584.2 mm vs. 219.1 mm normal (167% above normal)
Yellow alert for Kozhikode, Wayanad, Kannur, Kasaragod with 7-11 cm isolated heavy rainfall
IMD forecast: low-pressure area over north Bay of Bengal during second week of June.

The India Meteorological Department forecasts a low-pressure area over the north Bay of Bengal, signaling a shift in Kerala's monsoon pattern. Despite heavy rains in northern districts, overall Southwest Monsoon intensity will decrease with below-normal rainfall expected until June 10, following a 167% above-normal May rainfall.