IBM’s Quantum Nighthawk processor debuts in 2025: will 15,000 gates by 2028 unlock fault-tolerance?

IBM’s latest Quantum Nighthawk processor launches this year with 5,000 quantum gates, setting the stage for a 3x gate increase by 2028. This milestone is critical in IBM’s ambitious roadmap to deliver the world’s first large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029, promising a leap in computational power and quantum advantage as early as 2026.

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IBM has unveiled its roadmap for advancing quantum computing with the introduction of the Quantum Nighthawk processor, set to debut in 2025. This processor will initially support quantum circuits with 5,000 gates, matching the capabilities of its predecessor, the Quantum Heron. However, IBM plans to significantly enhance this capacity to 15,000 gates by 2028, marking a critical step toward fault-tolerant quantum computing.

The Nighthawk processor is a key component of IBM's broader vision culminating in the Quantum Starling system, which the company aims to deliver by 2029. Starling is projected to be the world’s first large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer, housed at IBM’s quantum data center in Poughkeepsie, New York. It will feature 200 logical qubits and the ability to run quantum circuits with 100 million quantum gates, representing a massive leap in computational power.

IBM executives express confidence in achieving fault tolerance by 2029, with expectations to reach quantum advantage even earlier, by 2026. The Quantum Starling system is expected to have 20,000 times the computational power of current quantum computers, underscoring IBM’s commitment to pushing the boundaries of quantum technology.

"By 2029, we will deliver IBM Quantum Starling — a large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer capable of running quantum circuits comprising 100 million quantum gates on 200 logical qubits," IBM stated.

This roadmap aligns with IBM’s strategic focus on hybrid cloud and AI sectors, which are vital for its long-term growth, while also promising substantial technological breakthroughs in quantum computing.

The Quantum Nighthawk processor’s phased gate increase from 5,000 to 15,000 by 2028 is a pivotal milestone on the path to fault tolerance, potentially unlocking new applications and efficiencies in quantum computing.

IBM’s plan reflects a significant investment in quantum research and development, positioning the company at the forefront of the race to build practical, scalable quantum machines.

Sources: CnbcLivemintIbm
IBM announced the upcoming release of its Quantum Nighthawk processor in 2025, aiming to enhance quantum computing capabilities with 5,000 gates initially and scaling to 15,000 gates by 2028. This development is part of IBM's broader plan to achieve fault-tolerant quantum computing by 2029 with the Quantum Starling system.
Section 1 background
The Headline

Quantum Nighthawk processor launch and gate expansion plans

Key Facts
  • IBM plans to release the Quantum Nighthawk processor in 2025, which will replace the current Quantum Heron processor.Cnbc
  • Quantum Nighthawk will initially run 5,000 quantum gates, matching the Heron, with plans to increase to 15,000 gates by 2028.Cnbc
Key Stats at a Glance
Initial quantum gates capacity of Quantum Nighthawk processor
5000 gates
Cnbc
Planned quantum gates capacity of Quantum Nighthawk processor by 2028
15000 gates
Cnbc
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Background Context

IBM Quantum Starling roadmap and fault-tolerance goals

Key Facts
  • IBM announced the IBM Quantum Starling, aiming to deliver the world’s first large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029.Yahoo FinanceLivemint
  • IBM Quantum Starling will be housed at the Poughkeepsie, NY data center and will have 20,000 times the computational power of today’s quantum computers.Livemint
  • IBM expects to achieve quantum advantage by 2026, ahead of the 2029 goal for full fault-tolerance with Quantum Starling.Ibm
  • By 2029, IBM Quantum Starling will run quantum circuits comprising 100 million quantum gates on 200 logical qubits, enabling fault-tolerant quantum computing.Ibm
Key Stats at a Glance
Computational power multiplier of IBM Quantum Starling
20000 times
Livemint
Quantum gates capacity of IBM Quantum Starling by 2029
100000000 gates
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Logical qubits count of IBM Quantum Starling by 2029
200 qubits
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Target year to achieve quantum advantage
2026 year
Target year to achieve fault-tolerance
2029 year
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