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Heatwave wanes with rain on the way, but unclear if it will be enough for parched land as drought persists

The recent heatwave has subsided, with temperatures dropping below 30C and rain expected in parts of northern England. However, after a dry summer, it remains uncertain if the anticipated rainfall will sufficiently alleviate the ongoing drought affecting most of England and Wales.

news.sky.com16 August 2026 · 08:19 UTC
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The heatwave has finally subsided, with temperatures dropping below 30C across most regions. Rain is forecasted for northern England, but the Environment Agency reported only 6% of the average rainfall for August so far, raising concerns about its effectiveness in alleviating the ongoing drought.

Most areas in northern England, including the Lake District and Newcastle, are expected to receive some rainfall, but South Wales is likely to remain dry with less than a 5% chance of rain in Cardiff today. After the driest July in nearly 200 years, the drought has left most of England and all of Wales parched.

Experts warn that the immediate forecast shows little measurable rainfall for the areas that need it most, with a longer-range outlook predicting a settled, dry, and warm August and September. “We might need to wait until October for the return of proper rain,” said a meteorologist.

Despite the drought, scientists noted that groundwater levels in the UK are in “remarkable” health, with 43% of monitored sites reporting normal or above-normal levels. However, the situation remains precarious as eight sites showed notably below normal levels, indicating a mixed picture amidst the ongoing dry conditions.1415

Key Insight
“England has received just 6% of its long-term average rainfall in August, and most parts of England and all of Wales are in drought after the driest July in nearly 200 years. Proper rain may not return until October, with the longer-range outlook for a settled, drier and warmer rest of August and September.”
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news.sky.com
“The heatwave finally waned yesterday, with temperatures staying below 30C in most places. From today, cooler weather will begin to be felt more widely and there's even a chance of rain on the horizon. But it remains unclear if the rain will be heavy enough to really make a difference after a dry and scorching summer so far.”
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