- Estonian Interior Ministry Secretary General Tarmo Miilits stated that there are currently no signs that the Russian Federation intends to carry out a military attack on any NATO country.
- Denmark's defence intelligence service has warned about an escalating threat from Russia, expecting hybrid attacks on NATO allies in the coming months.
- Miilits emphasized that Russia continues to seek to destabilize Europe and intimidate its countries.
- The Danish report warns that Russia will seek to disrupt European support for Ukraine or prevent it from reaching Ukraine.
- Miilits urged people not to panic, stating that scenarios involving a limited Russian attack often fail to consider Estonia's own defense capabilities.
- The Danish assessment concluded there is a low but growing risk of a Russian limited military attack against a neighboring country.
- Denmark's intelligence chief warned that Russia is focusing on disrupting support for Ukraine and could target key defense companies.
Denmark's defense intelligence has issued a stark warning regarding an anticipated escalation in Russian hybrid warfare against NATO allies, predicting a surge in cyberattacks and sabotage operations that could result in significant casualties. The report highlights a growing risk of attacks aimed at disrupting European support for Ukraine.
The Danish assessment indicates that Russia is likely to carry out more frequent attacks with greater consequences for targeted nations, including attempts to cripple critical infrastructure. It warns of a low but growing risk of a limited military attack against NATO countries, potentially using false-flag operations to create confusion and sow division within the alliance.6
In contrast, Estonia's Secretary General of the Ministry of the Interior, Tarmo Miilits, reassured that there are currently no indications of a military attack from Russia against any NATO member. He emphasized that while Russia poses a long-term strategic threat, panic should be avoided, as the country continues to seek to destabilize Europe through sabotage and intimidation.35
Miilits pointed to recent incidents, such as an attempted drone attack on Leipzig/Halle Airport, as evidence of Russian intelligence involvement. He noted that cooperation among European law enforcement is crucial in identifying and addressing these threats. The Danish report concludes that while an outright invasion of a NATO country remains highly unlikely, it cannot be entirely ruled out, especially as Russia may view the coming years as a window of opportunity to act against European allies.4
“The Danish intelligence assessment cites a 'low but growing' risk of a limited Russian military attack on a neighboring Nato country, possibly via false-flag operations. Estonia's Miilits urges against panic, noting Russia's long-term strategic threat but no current military intent.”
The Guardian
