CFTC ordered former GOP Rep. George Santos to pay $35,000 over Kalshi prediction-market trades; the ex-congressman was accused of “manipulative activity”
George SantosJoseph MurrayPalantir TechnologiesCommodity Futures Trading CommissionGNP Seguros

CFTC ordered former GOP Rep. George Santos to pay $35,000 over Kalshi prediction-market trades; the ex-congressman was accused of “manipulative activity”

Former GOP Rep. George Santos has been ordered by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to pay $35,000 for engaging in manipulative trading activities related to his attendance at the State of the Union address, which allowed him to profit from the trades, the agency announced Friday.

The Washington Post+2 sources1 August 2026 · 04:13 UTC
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Former GOP Rep. George Santos has been ordered to pay $35,000 by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for engaging in manipulative trading activities. The CFTC found that Santos traded on Kalshi event contracts regarding his attendance at the State of the Union address in February.12

The agency's investigation revealed that Santos made trades based on his public statements about attending the address, which influenced the contract prices favorably for him. “After these posts, the SOTU contract prices moved in a direction that was favorable to Santos’ positions which allowed him to make over $17,500,” the CFTC noted. Santos has also agreed to a three-year trading ban and to forfeit the $17,569.98 he earned from these trades.5

Santos stated, “I’m going to be there for the State of Union in the gallery, guys,” the day before the address, which the CFTC cited as part of its findings. Santos has settled the inquiry without admitting to any allegations, according to his attorney, who said, “Mr. Santos has agreed to resolve the CFTC’s inquiry and to put this matter behind him.” The CFTC emphasized the importance of compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and related regulations in its announcement.6

Key Insight
“His February Kalshi bets included a contract asking whether he would attend the State of the Union, and his posts moved prices favorably so he made over $17,500, the CFTC said. Santos must also give up the $17,569.98 profit and is banned from trading for three years, settling without admitting the agency’s findings.”
CuriousCats studied:
1
The Washington Post
“Former congressman George Santos (R-New York) agreed to pay $35,000 to settle charges by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission”
The Washington Post →
2
The New York TimesThe New York Times
“The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has ordered George Santos to pay $35,000 after the agency found the former Republican congressman traded on who would attend this year’s State of the Union and whether he would attend, too.”
The New York Times →
3
cnbc.comcnbc.com
“- Palantir Technologies remains a 'Strong Buy' ahead of Q2 earnings, with robust business activity and improving profitability expected.”
cnbc.com →
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