Carlos Sainz favored at +225 to lead outside top F1 teams in 2025 Spanish Grand Prix

As the 2025 Formula 1 season intensifies with a close three-way title race, predictive models spotlight Carlos Sainz as the top contender beyond the dominant teams. With McLaren's Piastri and Norris narrowly leading and Verstappen trailing, the Spanish Grand Prix odds reveal a fascinating battle shaping up at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya.

Sources:
SportsLine
Updated 1h ago
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Sources: SportsLine
The 2025 Spanish Grand Prix, set for Sunday at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, is shaping up to be a pivotal race in this season's Formula 1 championship.

After eight races, the title fight is intensely competitive, with McLaren teammates Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris leading the standings, separated by just three points. Four-time defending world champion Max Verstappen of Red Bull Racing trails Piastri by 25 points.

"The latest 2025 Spanish Grand Prix odds from DraftKings list Piastri and Norris as +175 co-favorites while Verstappen is at +330," highlighting the tight competition among the top drivers.

Beyond the top teams, Carlos Sainz is favored to be the leading finisher outside the dominant squads. A predictive model with a strong track record since 2021 supports Sainz at +225 odds to outperform drivers from Ferrari, Mercedes, Red Bull Racing, McLaren, and Aston Martin.

"We can tell you the model is backing Carlos Sainz (+225) as the top finisher excluding cars from Ferrari, Mercedes, Red Bull Racing, McLaren and Aston Martin," signaling confidence in his potential to shine despite stiff competition.

This model has previously demonstrated accuracy by correctly predicting Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022 and strongly backing Verstappen at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix.

As the Spanish Grand Prix approaches, all eyes will be on these key drivers and teams as they battle for crucial points in a season that promises thrilling racing and a tight championship race.
Sources: SportsLine
Carlos Sainz is favored at +225 odds to be the top finisher outside the leading F1 teams at the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix, held at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya. McLaren's Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris lead the overall race odds, with Max Verstappen trailing closely behind.
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The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021.
F1 Predictive Model Analyst
SportsLine
Key Facts
  • After eight races in the 2025 Formula 1 season, a tight three-way title race is emerging among top drivers.SportsLine
  • McLaren teammates Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris lead the championship standings, separated by just three points after Norris won the Monaco Grand Prix.SportsLine
  • Four-time defending champion Max Verstappen trails Piastri by 25 points in the championship standings.SportsLine
  • DraftKings odds for the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix list Piastri and Norris as +175 co-favorites, with Verstappen at +330.SportsLine
  • A predictive model favors Carlos Sainz (+225) as the top finisher outside the leading teams Ferrari, Mercedes, Red Bull Racing, McLaren, and Aston Martin.SportsLine
Key Stats at a Glance
Points difference between Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris
3 points
SportsLine
Points Max Verstappen trails Oscar Piastri by
25 points
SportsLine
DraftKings odds for Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris
+175
SportsLine
DraftKings odds for Max Verstappen
+330
SportsLine
Predictive model odds for Carlos Sainz
+225
SportsLine
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