- EU leaders, including Ursula von der Leyen and Friedrich Merz, have made positive overtures to Burnham but he is expected to face the same restrictions as his predecessor Starmer.
- The EU's major concern, according to former advisor Georg Riekeles, is whether Burnham will be on the same trajectory in defence, security, energy, and economic issues.
- Burnham inherits the reset agenda and plans to sign three agreements: a trade deal for fresh food, linking emissions trading systems, and a youth exchange scheme for 18-30 year olds.
- The youth mobility agreement is deadlocked because EU states consider the UK's cap on numbers too low and oppose the NHS surcharge and higher tuition fees. A possible middle ground gives EU students a discount on foreign fees.
- On the economy, the EU suggests the UK join the European Economic Area (EEA), which requires free movement of people, but Jacobs says Burnham is unlikely to accept due to immigration concerns of his voters.
Andy Burnham has taken office as the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, with European leaders expressing cautious optimism about his leadership.
The European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, stated she looks forward to enhancing the EU-UK partnership for the security and prosperity of both regions. However, Burnham inherits a complex political landscape, facing the same constraints as his predecessor, Keir Starmer.123
Georg Riekeles, a former adviser, noted that Burnham starts with a “blank sheet of paper”, which could be advantageous, but concerns remain about his alignment with the EU on key issues like defense, energy, and economic cooperation.4
The UK and EU are set to sign agreements aimed at reducing trade barriers, including a deal to ease paperwork for fresh food exports and a youth exchange scheme. However, negotiations over the youth mobility agreement have stalled, with EU member states opposing the UK’s proposed limits on numbers and additional fees for foreign students.567
Jacobs emphasized that Burnham's sensitivity to immigration concerns makes it unlikely he will pursue re-entry into the single market, which would require accepting free movement of people.89
As Burnham navigates these challenges, the future of UK-EU relations remains uncertain, with many looking to see if he can forge a new path amidst existing barriers.
“Ursula von der Leyen and Friedrich Merz have made positive overtures to Burnham, but Brussels is expected to impose the same restrictions faced by predecessor Starmer. Burnham inherits a reset agenda including a fresh food trade deal, linking emissions trading, and a youth exchange scheme for 18-30 year olds.”