- AI jitters coincide with the upcoming June jobs report and falling oil prices this week.
- Current estimates suggest 123,000 jobs were added in June, according to Bloomberg.
- The national average for gas prices is sitting at $3.90, according to AAA.
- The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to share June employment figures at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- This month's employment figure comes as research suggests the labor market is improving.
- 54% of Americans expect unemployment to rise in the next year, according to the University of Michigan's Survey of Consumer Sentiment.
- Investors will get another look at consumers' mood when The Conference Board updates its Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday.
- Sentiment slipped in May as the conflict pushed up gas prices and inflamed concerns about the cost of living.
As the June jobs report is set to be released this Thursday, analysts are closely watching the labor market's performance amid falling oil prices and shifting consumer sentiment.12
Current estimates suggest 123,000 jobs were added in June, according to Bloomberg, following a stronger-than-expected May where employers added 172,000 jobs and the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%.37
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However, concerns loom as the national average for gas prices sits at $3.90, according to AAA, and 54% of Americans4
Investors will also be looking for insights into consumer confidence when The Conference Board updates its Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday.8
These labor stats have fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark interest rate, especially with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz potentially overheating the economy.
At least half of the Fed's policymakers this year, including new Chair Kevin Warsh, are emphasizing the need for price stability amid rising prices that have led consumers to spend more cautiously.
Some economists believe the labor market is improving, shaking off the stagnant low-hire, low-fire environment that characterized much of 2025 and early 2026.6
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to share June employment figures at 8:30 a.m. ET on Thursday.5
“The June jobs report is anticipated to reveal 123,000 jobs added, while oil prices are falling to a national average of $3.90. Additionally, consumer sentiment updates from The Conference Board are set to provide insights into American consumers' mood.”