Alice WeidelHolger SchmiedingElif EralpFriedrich MerzSocial Democratic Party of GermanyBerenberg BankAlternative für DeutschlandAlternative for GermanyChristian Democratic UnionThe Left

AfD wins Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election; CDU crashes to 4.9%, fails to enter parliament for first time as Merz faces growing unrest

The far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) won the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election with 38%, while the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) suffered a historic defeat, crashing to 4.9% and failing to enter parliament for the first time, prompting unrest within the party led by Friedrich Merz.

The Guardian The Guardian+1 source22 September 2026 · 08:40 UTC
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The far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) achieved a significant victory in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, garnering 38% of the vote, while the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) faced a historic defeat, receiving only 4.9% and failing to enter parliament for the first time.12

Friedrich Merz, the CDU leader, described the outcome as a "disaster" and acknowledged the party's worst-ever result in a state election. "This election is a profound turning point. It is a dramatic and unprecedented result for the CDU in Germany that we could not clear the 5% threshold," he stated, emphasizing the long-lasting impact of this loss.9

The CDU's failure to secure the necessary votes marks a significant shift in the political landscape, with the AfD now seen as the dominant force in the region. In Berlin, the CDU is also expected to lose its position in city hall following a defeat to the leftwing Linke party.

The results reflect a broader trend of increasing support for far-right parties across Germany, with the AfD's influence growing significantly. In the northeastern coastal state, the party more than doubled its result, to 38%.

Merz's leadership is now under scrutiny as he faces growing unrest within his party. "Friedrich Merz is fighting for his political survival," said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg bank, highlighting the challenges ahead for the CDU leader.

The election results signal a dramatic shift in the party-political system in Germany, with the AfD's co-leader declaring, "The blue wave cannot be stopped."

Key Insight
“In Berlin, the Left Party doubled its result to 26% under Elif Eralp, while the AfD grew from 9% to 16%. Merz's approval ratings are dire, and Berenberg's chief economist says he is 'fighting for his political survival.'”
Results in two states lead to severe losses for the ruling CDU
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Results in two states lead to severe losses for the ruling CDU
CuriousCats studied:
1
The GuardianThe Guardian
“Friedrich Merz called it a “disaster”, and that was even before the full scale of the catastrophe for himself and his conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came into view after .”
The Guardian →
2
dw.comdw.com
“For the first time, the party failed to reach the required 5% of votes to enter parliament in the northeastern coastal state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. It marks the first time in its history that the CDU has failed to enter a state parliament.”
dw.com →
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