Tesla shares downgraded: Baird questions Musk’s robotaxi optimism—what’s next?

Baird’s recent downgrade of Tesla to 'Neutral' highlights skepticism over Elon Musk’s ambitious robotaxi growth projections, despite plans for thousands of Optimus robots in factories by year-end. This report delves into the impact of leadership changes and market reactions on Tesla’s evolving AI and robotics strategy.

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Updated 4h ago
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Baird downgraded Tesla shares from Outperform to Neutral on Monday, keeping the price target steady at $320. The firm expressed skepticism about CEO Elon Musk's optimistic projections for the robotaxi ramp rate, suggesting that the market has already priced in this enthusiasm.

Musk has been aggressively repositioning Tesla from a traditional automaker to a leader in artificial intelligence and robotics, focusing on self-driving robotaxis and humanoid robots named Optimus. This strategic pivot aims to redefine Tesla's future growth avenues beyond electric vehicles.

However, challenges have emerged, including the recent departure of Milan Kovac, Tesla's lead executive for the Optimus humanoid robot program, who left on personal grounds last week. Despite this, Musk remains confident, stating the company expects to have thousands of Optimus robots operating in its factories by year-end.

Baird's cautious stance highlights the tension between Musk's ambitious vision and the practical hurdles Tesla faces in scaling its robotics initiatives. Investors are advised to temper expectations as the company navigates this complex transition.

"Musk’s comments regarding the robotaxi ramp rate are a bit too optimistic," Baird noted, signaling potential volatility ahead for Tesla shares.

This downgrade reflects broader market skepticism about Tesla's ability to deliver on its AI and robotics promises in the near term, despite the company's innovative ambitions.
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Baird downgraded Tesla shares to Neutral from Outperform, maintaining a $320 price target, citing CEO Elon Musk's overly optimistic robotaxi ramp-up expectations. Musk aims to transform Tesla into an AI and robotics firm, despite leadership changes in the Optimus humanoid robot program.
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Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s comments regarding the robotaxi ramp rate are a bit too optimistic.
Baird Analyst
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Key Facts
  • Baird downgraded Tesla shares from 'Outperform' to 'Neutral' with an unchanged price target of $320.1
  • Elon Musk is promoting Tesla's transformation from an automaker to an AI and robotics company focusing on self-driving robotaxis and Optimus humanoid robots.1
  • Milan Kovac, lead executive of Tesla's Optimus program, left the company on personal grounds last week.
  • Tesla expects to have thousands of Optimus robots operating in its factories by the end of the year, according to Musk.1
  • Baird believes the excitement around Tesla's robotaxi ramp rate is already priced into the shares, contributing to the downgrade.1
Key Stats at a Glance
Tesla shares price target by Baird
$320
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