If everything goes well, then we should be in an era of radical abundance, a kind of golden era. AGI can solve what I call root-node problems in the world—curing terrible diseases, much healthier and longer lifespans, finding new energy sources.
Unidentified Expert
Key Facts
- Experts predict a 50% chance of achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) within the next 5 to 10 years.
- Significant risks arise if AGI systems are built with wrong or unsafe value systems, potentially leading to very bad outcomes.
- AGI could usher in a golden era of radical abundance, addressing root global problems such as diseases, energy, and lifespan improvements.
- AGI is expected to fundamentally change human behavior with practical solutions like desalination to solve water scarcity.
Key Stats at a Glance
Probability of achieving AGI within next 5 to 10 years
50%
Timeframe for potential AGI achievement
5 to 10 years